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What are you doing to stay sane? Surely not moving…!!???

Pandemic, shelter in place, mass unemployment, terrible financial hardships for many households and small businesses, new ways of working, office buildings empty, people move, rents plunge, dreadful fires, an anxious presidential election, interest rates to historic lows, stock markets to new highs, billionaires decamp to save on taxes, IPO mania breaks out again, vaccines begin […]

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Just the Four of Us

SF house and condo markets have been affected differently by the pandemic. This report attempts a deeper dive into the data across the city and within different city districts. The market typically starts a big slowdown in mid-November, running through the mid-winter holidays, until it begins to wake up in mid-January. High-price segments normally see […]

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Fun things, sun things, positive things, negative things

As illustrated below, the San Francisco market currently reflects a variety of both positive and negative indicators. Among Bay Area markets, the city is seeing the softest recovery from the initial shelter-in-place plunge in activity in early spring, while some other counties – less expensive, more suburban or rural – are experiencing extremely high demand. […]

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What We Know We Don’t Know.

Updated Market & Census Statistics, Home Prices & Appreciation Rates, Luxury Home Sales, Price Reductions, Employment & Interest Rates. It will be another month before hard data on the autumn selling season begins to become available. In the meantime, below is a review of market trends and statistics through the third quarter. Note that September […]

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What happened in the Spring and why did it happen….again?

Sales & Values by District and Price Segment, Special Circumstance Sales, Market Seasonality, the Luxury Home Market & Foreign Buyers. The May Case-Shiller Home Price Index was released in late July for the 5-county SF metro area. This chart illustrates the difference in appreciation rates between the Bay Area (higher price markets) and the entire […]

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How did the spur of IPOs impact Bay Area housing markets?

Executive Summary: Higher-end sales (above $3 million) surged in the second quarter to last year’s historical peaks. Home prices remained flat in the second quarter, except in San Francisco and San Mateo. For-sale inventory growth slowed considerably, especially in San Francisco. Inventory remains at 50 percent of the last housing boom. Tax reform is likely …

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Santa Clara Q2 Real Estate Market – Compass

Santa Clara County saw a rebound in buyer demand, luxury home sales and in median home sales prices in Q2, assisted by stock markets hitting new peaks and interest rates falling to multi-year lows. However, its market remains distinctly cooler than the white-hot period running from late 2017 through mid-2018 – when it was perhaps …

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June U.S. Jobs Report: Continued strength lowers expectations of Fed cut in July

Friday’s national employment report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the U.S. economy added 224,000 in June, exceeding the expectations of market observers who were counting on lower gains amid some slower May economic reports. The current economic expansion also entered its 121st month in July, marking the longest expansion in modern …

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California on track for longest job expansion in recorded history

California added 19,400 jobs in May bringing the unemployment rate down to 4.2 percent, according to the latest report from the state Employment Development Department. The lowest unemployment rate, 4.1 percent, was seen in second half of 2018. Current job growth is at a 111-month expansion — the second-longest since 113-month expansion of 1960s. With …

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Plenty of Bay Area buyers, but why are they hesitant?

Executive Summary: While April’s momentum is slightly slower in May, May sales are still only 2 percent below last year’s highs after double-digit declines earlier in the year. Home sales momentum remains solid in East Bay. Napa sales finally jumped 6 percent after a 6-month losing streak, averaging 20 percent annual declines. Affordable sales picked …

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